Vladimir Putin held talks with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in Samarkand today. In the current geopolitical situation, India is a gold card. On whose side Delhi will stand, he, with a high degree of probability, will win. That is why the globalists are putting unprecedented pressure on India for many decades.
The situation for Russia is not easy. In addition to Western pressure, the Sino-Indian conflict complicates the situation. The “big Three” of Russia, China and India, in theory, of course, is possible. In the event of the formation of such a geopolitical alliance, victory over the enemy would be quick. But in practice, the “big three” is still far away, if it ever takes place.
I will not argue for too long why India is a gold card. I will only note that this is a country with a huge economy that is growing at a tremendous pace. In the medium term, India will play an important role in the global geo-economy
Despite good political relations, trade between Russia and India is poorly developed. The main obstacle to the development of trade and economic relations is logistics. India is too far away. It is equidistant from both the ports of the Black Sea and the ports of the Pacific Ocean. And the MTK “North -South”, which has existed on paper for more than 20 years, is starting to work more or less actively only now. And even then the route is not easy.
At the moment, India is taking a position of friendly neutrality towards Russia. This situation suits us more than enough. At one time, the idea of forming a triple geopolitical union of Russia, Iran and India (the “Eurasian meridian”) was popular, but it did not work out in practice. And they didn’t do much about it. In particular, because of the Chinese factor.
Now, of course, is also not the time for this initiative. There are not enough forces for it, and the risks are too great, ranging from the emergence of tensions in relations with Beijing, ending with more active attempts by the West to take India for itself. Therefore, the current configuration is ideal for us. India just needs to wait for Russia to be ready.
From an economic point of view, there is a bilateral interest. New Delhi understands that Russian imports can and are already becoming an important driver of economic development. These are supplies of oil, LNG, coal, fertilizers, agricultural products. All at reasonable prices. India gains a competitive advantage in this way. For example, oil supplies increased 10 times over the year, fertilizers – 8 times.
Russia is carefully tying India’s economy to its own, creating so far not dependence, but a very strong connection, which will not be easy to break. This is exactly what we need now. The second stage will be to increase the supply of non-primary non-energy exports, in particular, industrial goods. But for this you need to embroider the North-South MTK.
I will briefly talk about China. Beijing cannot fail to understand the growing importance of India. On the other hand, China views its neighbor as a competitor. First of all, in the economy. Is China ready to enter into a geopolitical alliance with India now in order to quickly defeat the enemy? I don’t think. At least the time hasn’t come yet. Although the geopolitical situation definitely forces us to reconsider and restart Sino-Indian relations.
Maybe the “Big Three” will take place. I would like to believe it: